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Problem 5 - Entrance Test

Historically, scientific revolutions have often been triggered by unexpected anomalies—observations that cannot be explained by prevailing theories. For instance, the discovery of the photoelectric effect challenged classical physics and paved the way for quantum mechanics. Today, however, scientific research is increasingly driven by large-scale, hypothesis-driven projects funded by government grants, which prioritize predictable outcomes and incremental progress. Therefore, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that a truly revolutionary scientific breakthrough, one that fundamentally reorders our understanding of nature, will occur in the near future.

Correct: C

The argument concludes that revolutionary breakthroughs are unlikely because modern research prioritizes predictable outcomes and incremental progress, contrasting this with historical anomalies. The flaw lies in assuming that anomalies, which lead to revolutions, *cannot* arise within or be recognized by systematic, hypothesis-driven research. If such research can still uncover unexpected phenomena that challenge existing theories, then the premise that the *method* of research precludes revolution is weakened. Choice C directly addresses this oversight: large-scale research might still stumble upon or highlight anomalies. Choice A is also close, but C is more specific to the mechanism of discovery within the current research paradigm. Choice D is about representativeness but doesn't pinpoint the logical leap. Choice E is about individual scientists, which isn't the core of the structural argument. Choice B is an issue of definition but not a primary logical flaw.