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Problem 5 - Olympiad

A politician defends tax cuts for the wealthy by stating, "Historical evidence shows tax cuts always stimulate economic growth." This reasoning is flawed because it:

Correct: D

The argument asserts causation (tax cuts cause growth) based on historical correlation without accounting for confounding variables (e.g., market cycles, political stability). This is a classic correlation-causation fallacy. The other options describe secondary issues.